🎾 ATP WimbledonATP Wimbledon - Semi-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
A. Dougaz
🎾 A. Dougaz
Tunisia · Age 29
WLWWL
2026: 1-3
vs
R. Sakamoto
🎾 R. Sakamoto
Japan · Age 19
WLLWW
2026: 0-1
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·12:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

R. Sakamoto to Win

Our experts give R. Sakamoto a 76% win probability on grass.

1.35
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price R. Sakamoto to Win at 1.35 (implied 74.1%). Our experts give 76%, a fair price of 1.31 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
A. Dougaz to Win2.99
24% expert probability

Our experts give A. Dougaz a 24% win probability on grass.

Implied 33%Select →
Match Winner
R. Sakamoto to Win1.35
76% expert probability

Our experts give R. Sakamoto a 76% win probability on grass.

Implied 74%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Under 22.51.80
52% expert probability

Our experts make this 52% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.52
61% expert probability

Our experts make this 61% likely.

Implied 66%Select →
First Set
R. Sakamoto wins 1st set1.47
64% expert probability

Our experts make this 64% likely.

Implied 68%Select →
Set Betting
R. Sakamoto 2-01.97
44% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 51%Select →
Games Handicap
R. Sakamoto +3.5 games1.88
53% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 53%Select →

The Players

A. Dougaz
🎾 A. Dougaz
Tunisia · Age 29

A. Dougaz is a 29-year-old player from Tunisia. Strongest on hard (61% career win rate).

2026 Record
1-3
Grass Career
0-3
Hard61% (222-141)
Clay54% (52-44)
Grass0% (0-3)
R. Sakamoto
🎾 R. Sakamoto
Japan · Age 19

R. Sakamoto is a 19-year-old player from Japan. Strongest on grass (67% career win rate).

2026 Record
0-1
Grass Career
2-1
Hard58% (67-48)
Clay53% (18-16)
Grass67% (2-1)

Serpix Analysis

A. Dougaz meets R. Sakamoto at the Wimbledon on grass. Our experts make R. Sakamoto the favourite at 76% to win.

Why this pick

High

Grass-Court Form

R. Sakamoto has a 67% career win rate on grass (2-1).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerA. DougazR. Sakamoto
1xBet3.111.38
BetVictor2.901.36
Betano2.921.37
Betfair3.001.33
Marathon3.051.35
Pncl3.23
Sbo2.751.33
Superbet2.951.33
Unibet3.001.34
bet3653.001.36

Recent Form

🎾 A. Dougaz

22 Junvs C. Chidekh · Wimbledon2 - 0W
13 Junvs R. Collignon · Halle0 - 2L
11 Junvs A. Garcian · M15 Monastir 222 - 1W
10 Junvs R. Fernandes · M15 Monastir 222 - 1W
4 Junvs Y. Dlimi · M15 Monastir 210 - 2L

🎾 R. Sakamoto

22 Junvs A. Matusevich · Wimbledon2 - 1W
19 Mayvs P. Martinez · French Open0 - 2L
14 Mayvs A. Molcan · Bordeaux0 - 2L
13 Mayvs A. Muller · Bordeaux2 - 1W
12 Mayvs C. Tseng · Bordeaux2 - 0W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

A. Dougaz

Hard61% (222-141)
Clay54% (52-44)
Grass0% (0-3)

R. Sakamoto

Hard58% (67-48)
Clay53% (18-16)
Grass67% (2-1)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 R. Sakamoto44%
2-1 R. Sakamoto24%
2-0 A. Dougaz17%
2-1 A. Dougaz15%
Over 2.5 Sets39%
Under 2.5 Sets61%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.