SSerpixTennis Predictions
🎾 ITF M15 BergamoM15 Bergamo - 1/16-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
F. Arnaboldi
🇮🇹 F. Arnaboldi
Italy · Age 26
LWWLW
ITF #586 · 2026: 16-14 · Surface: 6-7
vs
N. Ciavarella
🇮🇹 N. Ciavarella
Italy · Age 22
LLLWL
ITF #971
Tuesday, 23 June 2026·18:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

F. Arnaboldi to Win

Our experts give F. Arnaboldi a 92% win probability on hard.

1.12
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price F. Arnaboldi to Win at 1.12 (implied 89.3%). Our experts give 92%, a fair price of 1.08 — an edge of 3.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
F. Arnaboldi to Win1.12
92% expert probability

Our experts give F. Arnaboldi a 92% win probability on hard.

Implied 89%Select →
Match Winner
N. Ciavarella to Win5.37
8% expert probability

Our experts give N. Ciavarella a 8% win probability on hard.

Implied 19%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Under 201.61
57% expert probability

Our experts make this 57% likely.

Implied 62%Select →
First Set
F. Arnaboldi wins 1st set1.21
77% expert probability

Our experts make this 77% likely.

Implied 83%Select →
Set Betting
F. Arnaboldi 2-01.44
60% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 69%Select →

The Players

F. Arnaboldi
🇮🇹 F. Arnaboldi
Italy · Age 26

F. Arnaboldi is a 26-year-old player from Italy, currently ranked ITF #586 with 65 ranking points. Strongest on clay (55% career win rate).

Ranking
#586
Points
65
2026 Record
16-14
Hard Career
24-40
Hard38% (24-40)
Clay55% (140-115)
Grass0% (0-1)
N. Ciavarella
🇮🇹 N. Ciavarella
Italy · Age 22

N. Ciavarella is a 22-year-old player from Italy, currently ranked ITF #971 with 21 ranking points. Strongest on grass (49% career win rate).

Ranking
#971
Points
21
Hard Career
47-52
Hard47% (47-52)
Clay42% (75-104)
Grass49% (45-46)

Serpix Analysis

F. Arnaboldi meets N. Ciavarella at the M15 Bergamo on hard. F. Arnaboldi comes in ranked #586, N. Ciavarella #971. Our experts make F. Arnaboldi the favourite at 92% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

F. Arnaboldi (#586) is ranked 385 places above N. Ciavarella (#971).

Medium

Hard-Court Form

F. Arnaboldi has a 38% career win rate on hard (24-40).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerF. ArnaboldiN. Ciavarella
1xBet1.115.35
BetVictor1.135.00
Betfair1.106.00
Marathon1.115.35
Pncl1.136.08
Sbo1.104.84
Superbet1.135.20
Unibet1.135.00
bet3651.125.50

Recent Form

🇮🇹 F. Arnaboldi

17 Junvs P. Nesterov · M25 Milano (Italy)0 - 2L
16 Junvs G. Ravasio · M25 Milano (Italy)2 - 0W
24 Mayvs H. Callejon · Vicenza2 - 0W
19 Mayvs C. Caniato · Cervia (Italy) - Qualification0 - 2L
18 Mayvs G. Tabacco · Cervia (Italy) - Qualification2 - 0W

🇮🇹 N. Ciavarella

16 Junvs J. Guilleme · M15 Mungia-Laukariz0 - 2L
9 Junvs A. Caruso · M15 Messina0 - 2L
28 Mayvs G. Oradini · M25 Grado (Italy)0 - 2L
27 Mayvs A. Coccioli · M25 Grado (Italy)2 - 0W
20 Mayvs R. Papoe · M15 Bucharest0 - 2L

Surface Performance & Set Betting

F. Arnaboldi

Hard38% (24-40)
Clay55% (140-115)
Grass0% (0-1)

N. Ciavarella

Hard47% (47-52)
Clay42% (75-104)
Grass49% (45-46)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 F. Arnaboldi60%
2-1 F. Arnaboldi21%
2-0 N. Ciavarella11%
2-1 N. Ciavarella8%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.