SSerpixTennis Predictions
🎾 ITF W50 Palma del RioW50 Palma del Rio - 1/16-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
F. Tian
🇨🇳 F. Tian
China · Age 22
LLWLW
ITF #249 · 2026: 0-1 · Surface: 0-1
vs
B. Thompson
🇦🇺 B. Thompson
Australia · Age 26
LWLLW
ITF #766
Tuesday, 23 June 2026·22:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

F. Tian to Win

Our experts give F. Tian a 97% win probability on hard.

1.04
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price F. Tian to Win at 1.04 (implied 96.2%). Our experts give 97%, a fair price of 1.03 — an edge of 0.8 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
F. Tian to Win1.04
97% expert probability

Our experts give F. Tian a 97% win probability on hard.

Implied 96%Select →
Match Winner
B. Thompson to Win8.84
3% expert probability

Our experts give B. Thompson a 3% win probability on hard.

Implied 11%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Over 16.51.90
50% expert probability

Our experts make this 50% likely.

Implied 53%Select →
🔵Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.10
82% expert probability

Our experts make this 82% likely.

Implied 91%Select →
First Set
F. Tian wins 1st set1.07
87% expert probability

Our experts make this 87% likely.

Implied 93%Select →
Set Betting
F. Tian 2-01.14
76% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 88%Select →
Games Handicap
F. Tian -7.5 games1.82
55% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 55%Select →

The Players

F. Tian
🇨🇳 F. Tian
China · Age 22

F. Tian is a 22-year-old player from China, currently ranked ITF #249 with 287 ranking points. Strongest on hard (69% career win rate).

Ranking
#249
Points
287
2026 Record
0-1
Hard Career
80-36
Hard69% (80-36)
Clay46% (6-7)
B. Thompson
🇦🇺 B. Thompson
Australia · Age 26

B. Thompson is a 26-year-old player from Australia, currently ranked ITF #766 with 48 ranking points. Strongest on grass (44% career win rate).

Ranking
#766
Points
48
Hard Career
17-30
Hard36% (17-30)
Grass44% (4-5)

Serpix Analysis

F. Tian meets B. Thompson at the W50 Palma del Rio on hard. F. Tian comes in ranked #249, B. Thompson #766. Our experts make F. Tian the favourite at 97% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

F. Tian (#249) is ranked 517 places above B. Thompson (#766).

High

Hard-Court Form

F. Tian has a 69% career win rate on hard (80-36).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerF. TianB. Thompson
1xBet1.038.40
Betfair1.0310.50
Marathon1.038.40
Superbet1.048.40
bet3651.058.50

Recent Form

🇨🇳 F. Tian

16 Junvs A. Korneeva · Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification0 - 2L
11 Junvs A. Arseneault · W50 Guimaraes0 - 2L
10 Junvs D. Marcinkevica · W50 Guimaraes2 - 0W
22 Mayvs H. Kaji · W100 Takasaki0 - 2L
20 Mayvs E. Micic · W100 Takasaki2 - 0W

🇦🇺 B. Thompson

17 Junvs A. Kubareva · W35+H Tauste0 - 2L
15 Junvs C. Sanchez · W35+H Tauste2 - 1W
10 Junvs A. Voloshchuk · W50 Guimaraes0 - 2L
28 Marvs O. Danilova · W15 Swan Hill (Australia), Grass1 - 2L
27 Marvs N. Arakawa · W15 Swan Hill (Australia), Grass2 - 1W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

F. Tian

Hard69% (80-36)
Clay46% (6-7)

B. Thompson

Hard36% (17-30)
Grass44% (4-5)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 F. Tian76%
2-1 F. Tian15%
2-0 B. Thompson5%
2-1 B. Thompson4%
Over 2.5 Sets18%
Under 2.5 Sets82%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.