SSerpixTennis Predictions
🎾 ITF M25 PortoM25 Porto - 1/16-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
J. Domingues
🇵🇹 J. Domingues
Portugal · Age 32
LWWLW
ITF #601 · 2026: 15-11 · Surface: 11-9
vs
M. McKennon
🇺🇸 M. McKennon
USA · Age 24
LWWWW
ITF #554 · 2026: 2-1 · Surface: 2-1
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·10:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

J. Domingues to Win

Our experts give J. Domingues a 73% win probability on hard.

1.40
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price J. Domingues to Win at 1.40 (implied 71.4%). Our experts give 73%, a fair price of 1.36 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
J. Domingues to Win1.40
73% expert probability

Our experts give J. Domingues a 73% win probability on hard.

Implied 71%Select →
Match Winner
M. McKennon to Win2.75
27% expert probability

Our experts give M. McKennon a 27% win probability on hard.

Implied 36%Select →
First Set
J. Domingues wins 1st set1.44
65% expert probability

Our experts make this 65% likely.

Implied 69%Select →

The Players

J. Domingues
🇵🇹 J. Domingues
Portugal · Age 32

J. Domingues is a 32-year-old player from Portugal, currently ranked ITF #601 with 61 ranking points. Strongest on clay (49% career win rate).

Ranking
#601
Points
61
2026 Record
15-11
Hard Career
56-70
Hard44% (56-70)
Clay49% (171-179)
Grass0% (0-3)
M. McKennon
🇺🇸 M. McKennon
USA · Age 24

M. McKennon is a 24-year-old player from USA, currently ranked ITF #554 with 73 ranking points. Strongest on hard (52% career win rate).

Ranking
#554
Points
73
2026 Record
2-1
Hard Career
61-56
Hard52% (61-56)
Clay44% (4-5)

Serpix Analysis

J. Domingues meets M. McKennon at the M25 Porto on hard. J. Domingues comes in ranked #601, M. McKennon #554. Our experts make J. Domingues the favourite at 73% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

M. McKennon (#554) is ranked 47 places above J. Domingues (#601).

Medium

Hard-Court Form

J. Domingues has a 44% career win rate on hard (56-70).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerJ. DominguesM. McKennon
1xBet1.412.75
bet3651.402.75

Recent Form

🇵🇹 J. Domingues

19 Junvs F. Andaloro · M25 Lourinha (Portugal)1 - 2L
18 Junvs M. Fernandez · M25 Lourinha (Portugal)2 - 1W
17 Junvs T. Cacao · M25 Lourinha (Portugal)2 - 0W
14 Junvs P. Gomez · M25 Martos0 - 2L
13 Junvs R. Luque · M25 Martos2 - 0W

🇺🇸 M. McKennon

14 Junvs I. Curbelo · M15 Kayseri 40 - 2L
13 Junvs H. Gokpinar · M15 Kayseri 42 - 0W
12 Junvs V. Iakubenko · M15 Kayseri 42 - 0W
11 Junvs R. Alba · M15 Kayseri 42 - 0W
10 Junvs F. Roussel · M15 Kayseri 42 - 0W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

J. Domingues

Hard44% (56-70)
Clay49% (171-179)
Grass0% (0-3)

M. McKennon

Hard52% (61-56)
Clay44% (4-5)

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.