🎾 ATP EastbourneATP Eastbourne - 1/16-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
J. Pinnington Jones
🎾 J. Pinnington Jones
United Kingdom · Age 23
WLLWL
2026: 13-10
vs
C. Ugo Carabelli
🎾 C. Ugo Carabelli
Argentina · Age 27
LWLWW
2026: 14-11
Monday, 22 June 2026·12:10 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

J. Jones to Win

Our experts give J. Jones a 74% win probability on grass.

1.39
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price J. Jones to Win at 1.39 (implied 71.9%). Our experts give 74%, a fair price of 1.35 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
J. Jones to Win1.39
74% expert probability

Our experts give J. Jones a 74% win probability on grass.

Implied 72%Select →
Match Winner
C. Carabelli to Win2.94
26% expert probability

Our experts give C. Carabelli a 26% win probability on grass.

Implied 34%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Over 21.51.75
54% expert probability

Our experts make this 54% likely.

Implied 57%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.54
61% expert probability

Our experts make this 61% likely.

Implied 65%Select →
First Set
J. Jones wins 1st set1.48
64% expert probability

Our experts make this 64% likely.

Implied 68%Select →
Set Betting
J. Jones 2-02.00
44% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 50%Select →
Games Handicap
J. Jones -3.5 games1.87
53% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 53%Select →

The Players

J. Pinnington Jones
🎾 J. Pinnington Jones
United Kingdom · Age 23

J. Pinnington Jones is a 23-year-old player from United Kingdom. Strongest on clay (65% career win rate).

2026 Record
13-10
Grass Career
21-12
Hard60% (71-48)
Clay65% (26-14)
Grass64% (21-12)
C. Ugo Carabelli
🎾 C. Ugo Carabelli
Argentina · Age 27

C. Ugo Carabelli is a 27-year-old player from Argentina. Strongest on clay (65% career win rate).

2026 Record
14-11
Grass Career
0-5
Hard39% (22-34)
Clay65% (243-133)
Grass0% (0-5)

Serpix Analysis

J. Pinnington Jones meets C. Ugo Carabelli at the Eastbourne on grass. Our experts make J. Jones the favourite at 74% to win.

Why this pick

High

Grass-Court Form

J. Jones has a 64% career win rate on grass (21-12).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerJ. JonesC. Carabelli
10Bet1.382.90
1xBet1.413.02
888Sport1.402.90
BetVictor1.362.88
Betano1.402.95
Betfair1.402.88
Marathon1.392.98
Pncl1.433.05
Sbo1.392.75
Superbet1.412.90
Unibet1.363.15
WilliamHill1.402.90

Recent Form

🎾 J. Jones

22 Junvs M. Trungelliti · Eastbourne2 - 1W
15 Junvs D. Shapovalov · London1 - 2L
12 Junvs F. Romano · Ilkley1 - 2L
8 Junvs H. Wendelken · Ilkley2 - 0W
2 Junvs A. Vukic · Birmingham1 - 2L

🎾 C. Carabelli

27 Mayvs A. Rublev · French Open1 - 3L
25 Mayvs E. Nava · French Open3 - 0W
21 Mayvs A. Kovacevic · Hamburg1 - 2L
20 Mayvs F. Tiafoe · Hamburg2 - 0W
18 Mayvs K. Majchrzak · Hamburg2 - 1W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

J. Jones

Hard60% (71-48)
Clay65% (26-14)
Grass64% (21-12)

C. Carabelli

Hard39% (22-34)
Clay65% (243-133)
Grass0% (0-5)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 J. Jones44%
2-1 J. Jones24%
2-0 C. Carabelli17%
2-1 C. Carabelli15%
Over 2.5 Sets39%
Under 2.5 Sets61%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.