🎾 ATP MallorcaATP Mallorca - 1/8-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
L. Darderi
🎾 L. Darderi
Italy · Age 24
LWLWW
vs
Y. Hanfmann
🎾 Y. Hanfmann
Germany · Age 34
WLWLW
2026: 13-8
Tuesday, 23 June 2026·17:35 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

Y. Hanfmann to Win

Our experts give Y. Hanfmann a 59% win probability on grass.

1.75
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price Y. Hanfmann to Win at 1.75 (implied 57.1%). Our experts give 59%, a fair price of 1.69 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
L. Darderi to Win2.08
41% expert probability

Our experts give L. Darderi a 41% win probability on grass.

Implied 48%Select →
Match Winner
Y. Hanfmann to Win1.75
59% expert probability

Our experts give Y. Hanfmann a 59% win probability on grass.

Implied 57%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Under 24.51.87
50% expert probability

Our experts make this 50% likely.

Implied 53%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.65
57% expert probability

Our experts make this 57% likely.

Implied 61%Select →
First Set
Y. Hanfmann wins 1st set1.76
53% expert probability

Our experts make this 53% likely.

Implied 57%Select →
Set Betting
Y. Hanfmann 2-02.82
32% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 35%Select →
Straight Sets
Y. Hanfmann in straight sets2.62
35% expert probability

35% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 38%Select →
Games Handicap
Y. Hanfmann -0.5 games1.69
59% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 59%Select →

The Players

L. Darderi
🎾 L. Darderi
Italy · Age 24

L. Darderi is a 24-year-old player from Italy. Strongest on clay (65% career win rate).

Grass Career
5-9
Hard46% (34-40)
Clay65% (180-98)
Grass36% (5-9)
Y. Hanfmann
🎾 Y. Hanfmann
Germany · Age 34

Y. Hanfmann is a 34-year-old player from Germany. Strongest on clay (64% career win rate).

2026 Record
13-8
Grass Career
21-22
Hard48% (99-106)
Clay64% (207-116)
Grass49% (21-22)

Serpix Analysis

L. Darderi meets Y. Hanfmann at the Mallorca on grass. Their head-to-head favours L. Darderi 5-0. Our experts make Y. Hanfmann the favourite at 59% to win.

Why this pick

High

Head-to-Head Record

L. Darderi leads the series 5-0 across 5 meeting(s).

Medium

Grass-Court Form

Y. Hanfmann has a 49% career win rate on grass (21-22).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerL. DarderiY. Hanfmann
1xBet2.131.75
888Sport2.101.73
BetVictor2.051.70
Betano2.051.78
Betfair2.101.73
Marathon2.101.73
Pncl2.181.74
Sbo1.881.88
Superbet2.121.73
Unibet2.121.72
WilliamHill2.101.73
bet3652.001.80

Head to Head

5
L. Darderi
5 meetings
0
Y. Hanfmann
20 May Hamburg2 - 0L. Darderi
8 May Rome2 - 0L. Darderi
1 Mar Santiago2 - 0L. Darderi
9 Feb Cordoba2 - 0L. Darderi
4 Feb Cordoba2 - 0L. Darderi

Recent Form

🎾 L. Darderi

28 Mayvs F. Comesana · French Open2 - 3L
26 Mayvs S. Ofner · French Open3 - 0W
21 Mayvs A. Minaur · Hamburg0 - 2L
20 Mayvs Y. Hanfmann · Hamburg2 - 0W
19 Mayvs R. Burruchaga · Hamburg2 - 0W

🎾 Y. Hanfmann

21 Junvs D. Vallejo · Mallorca2 - 0W
18 Junvs A. Zverev · Halle0 - 2L
16 Junvs J. Fonseca · Halle2 - 0W
10 Junvs M. Bellucci · Stuttgart1 - 2L
9 Junvs A. Kovacevic · Stuttgart2 - 0W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

L. Darderi

Hard46% (34-40)
Clay65% (180-98)
Grass36% (5-9)

Y. Hanfmann

Hard48% (99-106)
Clay64% (207-116)
Grass49% (21-22)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 Y. Hanfmann32%
2-0 L. Darderi25%
2-1 Y. Hanfmann23%
2-1 L. Darderi20%
Over 2.5 Sets43%
Under 2.5 Sets57%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.