🎾 WTA Bad HomburgWTA Bad Homburg - 1/8-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
L. Samsonova
🎾 L. Samsonova
World · Age 27
WLLLL
WTA #42 · 2026: 6-10
vs
E. Svitolina
🇺🇦 E. Svitolina
Ukraine · Age 31
LWLWW
WTA #8 · 2026: 5-0
Tuesday, 23 June 2026·17:30 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

E. Svitolina to Win

Our experts give E. Svitolina a 74% win probability on grass.

1.40
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price E. Svitolina to Win at 1.40 (implied 71.4%). Our experts give 74%, a fair price of 1.34 — an edge of 3.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
L. Samsonova to Win2.94
26% expert probability

Our experts give L. Samsonova a 26% win probability on grass.

Implied 34%Select →
Match Winner
E. Svitolina to Win1.40
74% expert probability

Our experts give E. Svitolina a 74% win probability on grass.

Implied 71%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Over 20.51.77
53% expert probability

Our experts make this 53% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.46
64% expert probability

Our experts make this 64% likely.

Implied 68%Select →
First Set
E. Svitolina wins 1st set1.47
64% expert probability

Our experts make this 64% likely.

Implied 68%Select →
Set Betting
E. Svitolina 2-01.96
46% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 51%Select →
Games Handicap
E. Svitolina +3.5 games1.76
57% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 57%Select →

The Players

L. Samsonova
🎾 L. Samsonova
World · Age 27

L. Samsonova is a 27-year-old player from World, currently ranked WTA #42 with 1,220 ranking points. Strongest on grass (67% career win rate).

Ranking
#42
Points
1,220
2026 Record
6-10
Grass Career
37-18
Hard58% (136-98)
Clay52% (49-45)
Grass67% (37-18)
E. Svitolina
🇺🇦 E. Svitolina
Ukraine · Age 31

E. Svitolina is a 31-year-old player from Ukraine, currently ranked WTA #8 with 4,423 ranking points. Strongest on hard (67% career win rate).

Ranking
#8
Points
4,423
2026 Record
5-0
Grass Career
29-26
Hard67% (330-162)
Clay66% (120-61)
Grass53% (29-26)

Serpix Analysis

L. Samsonova meets E. Svitolina at the Bad Homburg on grass. L. Samsonova comes in ranked #42, E. Svitolina #8. Our experts make E. Svitolina the favourite at 74% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

E. Svitolina (#8) is ranked 34 places above L. Samsonova (#42).

Medium

Grass-Court Form

E. Svitolina has a 53% career win rate on grass (29-26).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerL. SamsonovaE. Svitolina
1xBet3.021.41
888Sport2.901.40
BetVictor2.881.36
Betano3.001.40
Betfair2.751.44
Marathon2.981.39
Pncl3.151.40
Sbo2.781.38
Superbet2.951.39
Unibet3.001.38
WilliamHill2.901.40
bet3653.001.40

Recent Form

🎾 L. Samsonova

21 Junvs K. Siniakova · Bad Homburg2 - 0W
15 Junvs E. Mertens · Berlin1 - 2L
8 Junvs H. Dart · London1 - 2L
25 Mayvs J. Teichmann · French Open0 - 2L
18 Mayvs D. Kasatkina · Strasbourg0 - 2L

🇺🇦 E. Svitolina

19 Junvs A. Eala · Berlin0 - 2L
18 Junvs E. Lys · Berlin2 - 0W
2 Junvs M. Kostyuk · French Open1 - 2L
31 Mayvs B. Bencic · French Open2 - 1W
29 Mayvs T. Korpatsch · French Open2 - 0W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

L. Samsonova

Hard58% (136-98)
Clay52% (49-45)
Grass67% (37-18)

E. Svitolina

Hard67% (330-162)
Clay66% (120-61)
Grass53% (29-26)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 E. Svitolina46%
2-1 E. Svitolina22%
2-0 L. Samsonova17%
2-1 L. Samsonova15%
Over 2.5 Sets36%
Under 2.5 Sets64%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.