🎾 ATP StuttgartATP Stuttgart - Semi-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
L. Sonego
🇮🇹 L. Sonego
Italy · Age 31
LWLLW
ATP #72 · 2026: 3-5
vs
M. Alkaya
🎾 M. Alkaya
Turkey · Age 26
WLLWL
ATP #332 · 2026: 3-1
Saturday, 6 June 2026·15:30 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

L. Sonego to Win

Our experts give L. Sonego a 93% win probability on grass.

1.11
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price L. Sonego to Win at 1.11 (implied 90.1%). Our experts give 93%, a fair price of 1.07 — an edge of 3.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
L. Sonego to Win1.11
93% expert probability

Our experts give L. Sonego a 93% win probability on grass.

Implied 90%Select →
Match Winner
M. Alkaya to Win5.76
7% expert probability

Our experts give M. Alkaya a 7% win probability on grass.

Implied 17%Select →
First Set
L. Sonego wins 1st set1.23
76% expert probability

Our experts make this 76% likely.

Implied 81%Select →
Set Betting
L. Sonego 2-01.46
60% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 68%Select →

The Players

L. Sonego
🇮🇹 L. Sonego
Italy · Age 31

L. Sonego is a 31-year-old player from Italy, currently ranked ATP #72 with 833 ranking points. Strongest on clay (56% career win rate).

Ranking
#72
Points
833
2026 Record
3-5
Grass Career
28-24
Hard49% (137-142)
Clay56% (159-124)
Grass54% (28-24)
M. Alkaya
🎾 M. Alkaya
Turkey · Age 26

M. Alkaya is a 26-year-old player from Turkey, currently ranked ATP #332 with 162 ranking points. Strongest on hard (66% career win rate).

Ranking
#332
Points
162
2026 Record
3-1
Hard66% (65-34)
Clay30% (11-26)

Serpix Analysis

L. Sonego meets M. Alkaya at the Stuttgart on grass. L. Sonego comes in ranked #72, M. Alkaya #332. Our experts make L. Sonego the favourite at 93% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

L. Sonego (#72) is ranked 260 places above M. Alkaya (#332).

Medium

Grass-Court Form

L. Sonego has a 54% career win rate on grass (28-24).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerL. SonegoM. Alkaya
10Bet1.116.00
1xBet1.125.15
BetVictor1.125.50
Betano1.145.30
Betfair1.116.00
Marathon1.125.15
Pncl1.136.25
Sbo1.085.16
Unibet1.106.40
WilliamHill1.087.00
bet3651.145.50

Recent Form

🇮🇹 L. Sonego

23 Junvs M. Kecmanovic · Mallorca1 - 2L
21 Junvs M. Navone · Mallorca2 - 1W
17 Junvs B. Shelton · Halle0 - 2L
14 Junvs N. Basilashvili · Halle0 - 2L
13 Junvs F. Jianu · Halle2 - 0W

🎾 M. Alkaya

23 Junvs R. Catry · M25 Porto2 - 1W
17 Junvs M. Bobichon · M25 Lourinha (Portugal)1 - 2L
7 Junvs P. Herbert · Stuttgart0 - 2L
6 Junvs M. Sakellaridis · Stuttgart2 - 0W
1 Junvs A. Azkara · Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualification1 - 2L

Surface Performance & Set Betting

L. Sonego

Hard49% (137-142)
Clay56% (159-124)
Grass54% (28-24)

M. Alkaya

Hard66% (65-34)
Clay30% (11-26)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 L. Sonego60%
2-1 L. Sonego23%
2-1 M. Alkaya9%
2-0 M. Alkaya8%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.