SSerpixTennis Predictions
🎾 ITF Plovdiv (Bulgaria) - QualificationPlovdiv - 1/8-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
M. Martineau
🇫🇷 M. Martineau
France · Age 27
WLWLW
ITF #339 · 2026: 3-1 · Surface: 3-1
vs
P. Nesterov
🇧🇬 P. Nesterov
Bulgaria · Age 23
WLWWL
ITF #396 · 2026: 22-8 · Surface: 20-8
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·10:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

P. Nesterov to Win

Our experts give P. Nesterov a 59% win probability on hard.

1.76
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price P. Nesterov to Win at 1.76 (implied 56.8%). Our experts give 59%, a fair price of 1.70 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
M. Martineau to Win1.96
41% expert probability

Our experts give M. Martineau a 41% win probability on hard.

Implied 51%Select →
Match Winner
P. Nesterov to Win1.76
59% expert probability

Our experts give P. Nesterov a 59% win probability on hard.

Implied 57%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Under 23.51.65
56% expert probability

Our experts make this 56% likely.

Implied 61%Select →
First Set
P. Nesterov wins 1st set1.80
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
Set Betting
P. Nesterov 2-02.76
31% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 36%Select →
Games Handicap
P. Nesterov -1 games1.62
62% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 62%Select →

The Players

M. Martineau
🇫🇷 M. Martineau
France · Age 27

M. Martineau is a 27-year-old player from France, currently ranked ITF #339 with 157 ranking points. Strongest on hard (55% career win rate).

Ranking
#339
Points
157
2026 Record
3-1
Hard Career
118-97
Hard55% (118-97)
Clay52% (101-93)
Grass50% (6-6)
P. Nesterov
🇧🇬 P. Nesterov
Bulgaria · Age 23

P. Nesterov is a 23-year-old player from Bulgaria, currently ranked ITF #396 with 124 ranking points. Strongest on hard (65% career win rate).

Ranking
#396
Points
124
2026 Record
22-8
Hard Career
81-44
Hard65% (81-44)
Clay62% (84-52)
Grass0% (0-1)

Serpix Analysis

M. Martineau meets P. Nesterov at the Plovdiv (Bulgaria) - Qualification on hard. M. Martineau comes in ranked #339, P. Nesterov #396. Our experts make P. Nesterov the favourite at 59% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

M. Martineau (#339) is ranked 57 places above P. Nesterov (#396).

High

Hard-Court Form

P. Nesterov has a 65% career win rate on hard (81-44).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerM. MartineauP. Nesterov
1xBet1.951.74
BetVictor1.951.73
Marathon1.951.74
Superbet2.001.78
Unibet1.971.80
WilliamHill1.911.80

Recent Form

🇫🇷 M. Martineau

22 Junvs I. Radulov · Plovdiv (Bulgaria) - Qualification2 - 0W
15 Junvs L. Wiedenmann · Parma0 - 2L
14 Junvs D. Salazar · Parma2 - 0W
10 Junvs T. Boyer · Lyon0 - 2L
9 Junvs M. Kaouk · Lyon2 - 1W

🇧🇬 P. Nesterov

23 Junvs D. Silva · Plovdiv (Bulgaria) - Qualification2 - 0W
18 Junvs F. Tabacco · M25 Milano (Italy)1 - 2L
17 Junvs F. Arnaboldi · M25 Milano (Italy)2 - 0W
15 Junvs F. Iannaccone · M25 Milano (Italy)2 - 1W
9 Junvs M. Cecchinato · Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification0 - 2L

Surface Performance & Set Betting

M. Martineau

Hard55% (118-97)
Clay52% (101-93)
Grass50% (6-6)

P. Nesterov

Hard65% (81-44)
Clay62% (84-52)
Grass0% (0-1)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 P. Nesterov31%
2-0 M. Martineau28%
2-1 P. Nesterov21%
2-1 M. Martineau20%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.