SSerpixTennis Predictions
🎾 ITF W35 TaipeiW35 Taipei - Quarter-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
M. Matsuda
🇯🇵 M. Matsuda
Japan · Age 27
WWLLW
ITF #376 · 2026: 10-6 · Surface: 10-6
vs
H. Kaji
🇯🇵 H. Kaji
Japan · Age 31
LWWWL
ITF #287 · 2026: 12-9 · Surface: 12-9
Friday, 19 June 2026·04:10 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

H. Kaji to Win

Our experts give H. Kaji a 66% win probability on hard.

1.58
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price H. Kaji to Win at 1.58 (implied 63.3%). Our experts give 66%, a fair price of 1.51 — an edge of 3.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
M. Matsuda to Win2.23
34% expert probability

Our experts give M. Matsuda a 34% win probability on hard.

Implied 45%Select →
Match Winner
H. Kaji to Win1.58
66% expert probability

Our experts give H. Kaji a 66% win probability on hard.

Implied 63%Select →
First Set
H. Kaji wins 1st set1.64
57% expert probability

Our experts make this 57% likely.

Implied 61%Select →
Set Betting
H. Kaji 2-02.27
39% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 44%Select →

The Players

M. Matsuda
🇯🇵 M. Matsuda
Japan · Age 27

M. Matsuda is a 27-year-old player from Japan, currently ranked ITF #376 with 166 ranking points. Strongest on grass (67% career win rate).

Ranking
#376
Points
166
2026 Record
10-6
Hard Career
74-59
Hard56% (74-59)
Clay59% (41-28)
Grass67% (8-4)
H. Kaji
🇯🇵 H. Kaji
Japan · Age 31

H. Kaji is a 31-year-old player from Japan, currently ranked ITF #287 with 243 ranking points. Strongest on grass (65% career win rate).

Ranking
#287
Points
243
2026 Record
12-9
Hard Career
152-147
Hard51% (152-147)
Clay41% (9-13)
Grass65% (11-6)

Serpix Analysis

M. Matsuda meets H. Kaji at the W35 Taipei on hard. M. Matsuda comes in ranked #376, H. Kaji #287. Their head-to-head favours H. Kaji 2-1. Our experts make H. Kaji the favourite at 66% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

H. Kaji (#287) is ranked 89 places above M. Matsuda (#376).

Medium

Head-to-Head Record

H. Kaji leads the series 2-1 across 3 meeting(s).

Medium

Hard-Court Form

H. Kaji has a 51% career win rate on hard (152-147).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerM. MatsudaH. Kaji
1xBet2.221.59
BetVictor2.251.57
Betano2.221.57
Betfair2.251.57
Marathon2.221.57
Pncl2.291.64
Sbo2.201.57
Superbet2.251.58
Unibet2.201.58
WilliamHill2.201.57
bet3652.251.57

Head to Head

1
M. Matsuda
3 meetings
2
H. Kaji
20 May W100 Takasaki0 - 2H. Kaji
9 Jul W35 Monastir2 - 0M. Matsuda
15 Aug ITF W50 Ourense Women0 - 2H. Kaji

Recent Form

🇯🇵 M. Matsuda

18 Junvs E. Shimizu · W35 Taipei2 - 0W
16 Junvs R. Goto · W35 Taipei2 - 0W
20 Mayvs H. Kaji · W100 Takasaki0 - 2L
14 Mayvs Y. Naito · W35 Andong0 - 2L
13 Mayvs J. Oh · W35 Andong2 - 0W

🇯🇵 H. Kaji

21 Junvs D. Back · W35 Taipei0 - 2L
20 Junvs Y. Kitahara · W35 Taipei2 - 0W
18 Junvs E. Lee · W35 Taipei2 - 0W
17 Junvs H. Sato · W35 Taipei2 - 0W
10 Junvs Y. Yang · W100 Wuning (China)1 - 2L

Surface Performance & Set Betting

M. Matsuda

Hard56% (74-59)
Clay59% (41-28)
Grass67% (8-4)

H. Kaji

Hard51% (152-147)
Clay41% (9-13)
Grass65% (11-6)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 H. Kaji39%
2-0 M. Matsuda25%
2-1 H. Kaji20%
2-1 M. Matsuda16%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.