🎾 ITF PiracicabaPiracicaba - 1/8-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
M. Soto
🇨🇱 M. Soto
Chile · Age 27
WLWWL
ITF #300
vs
G. Villanueva
🇦🇷 G. Villanueva
Argentina · Age 31
WLWWL
ITF #397 · 2026: 8-12
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·16:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

M. Soto to Win

Our experts give M. Soto a 66% win probability on hard.

1.58
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price M. Soto to Win at 1.58 (implied 63.3%). Our experts give 66%, a fair price of 1.51 — an edge of 3.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
M. Soto to Win1.58
66% expert probability

Our experts give M. Soto a 66% win probability on hard.

Implied 63%Select →
Match Winner
G. Villanueva to Win2.23
34% expert probability

Our experts give G. Villanueva a 34% win probability on hard.

Implied 45%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Over 20.51.60
57% expert probability

Our experts make this 57% likely.

Implied 63%Select →
First Set
M. Soto wins 1st set1.65
56% expert probability

Our experts make this 56% likely.

Implied 61%Select →
Set Betting
M. Soto 2-02.44
36% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 41%Select →
Straight Sets
M. Soto in straight sets2.50
38% expert probability

38% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 40%Select →
Games Handicap
M. Soto -1 games1.65
61% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 61%Select →

The Players

M. Soto
🇨🇱 M. Soto
Chile · Age 27

M. Soto is a 27-year-old player from Chile, currently ranked ITF #300 with 179 ranking points. Strongest on clay (60% career win rate).

Ranking
#300
Points
179
Hard Career
36-35
Hard51% (36-35)
Clay60% (93-62)
Grass0% (0-1)
G. Villanueva
🇦🇷 G. Villanueva
Argentina · Age 31

G. Villanueva is a 31-year-old player from Argentina, currently ranked ITF #397 with 124 ranking points. Strongest on clay (53% career win rate).

Ranking
#397
Points
124
2026 Record
8-12
Hard Career
19-27
Hard41% (19-27)
Clay53% (224-196)

Serpix Analysis

M. Soto meets G. Villanueva at the Piracicaba on hard. M. Soto comes in ranked #300, G. Villanueva #397. Their head-to-head favours M. Soto 1-0. Our experts make M. Soto the favourite at 66% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

M. Soto (#300) is ranked 97 places above G. Villanueva (#397).

Medium

Head-to-Head Record

M. Soto leads the series 1-0 across 1 meeting(s).

Medium

Hard-Court Form

M. Soto has a 51% career win rate on hard (36-35).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerM. SotoG. Villanueva
1xBet1.592.22
BetVictor1.572.20
Betfair1.572.25
Marathon1.572.22
Superbet1.592.30
WilliamHill1.572.25
bet3651.612.20

Head to Head

1
M. Soto
1 meeting
0
G. Villanueva
1 Apr Campinas2 - 0M. Soto

Recent Form

🇨🇱 M. Soto

22 Junvs I. Monzon · Piracicaba2 - 0W
18 Junvs N. Hardt · Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualification1 - 2L
17 Junvs S. Fuente · Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualification2 - 1W
16 Junvs J. Rodriguez · Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualification2 - 0W
9 Junvs J. Estevez · San Miguel de Tucuman0 - 2L

🇦🇷 G. Villanueva

22 Junvs N. Villalon · Piracicaba2 - 1W
18 Junvs J. Estevez · Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualification0 - 2L
17 Junvs J. Cardozo · Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualification2 - 0W
16 Junvs J. Torres · Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualification2 - 1W
13 Junvs N. Oliveira · M15 Brasilia1 - 2L

Surface Performance & Set Betting

M. Soto

Hard51% (36-35)
Clay60% (93-62)
Grass0% (0-1)

G. Villanueva

Hard41% (19-27)
Clay53% (224-196)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 M. Soto36%
2-0 G. Villanueva24%
2-1 M. Soto22%
2-1 G. Villanueva18%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.