🎾 ITF M15 AlkmaarM15 Alkmaar - 1/16-finals🔵 Hard, Outdoor
GU
🎾 S. Guinau
Netherlands · Age 56
LL
vs
S. Jong
🇳🇱 S. Jong
Netherlands · Age 26
LWLWW
ITF #736
Tuesday, 23 June 2026·19:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

S. Jong to Win

Our experts give S. Jong a 97% win probability on hard.

1.05
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price S. Jong to Win at 1.05 (implied 95.2%). Our experts give 97%, a fair price of 1.03 — an edge of 1.8 points.

Betting Predictions

🔵Match Winner
S. Guinau to Win8.44
3% expert probability

Our experts give S. Guinau a 3% win probability on hard.

Implied 12%Select →
Match Winner
S. Jong to Win1.05
97% expert probability

Our experts give S. Jong a 97% win probability on hard.

Implied 95%Select →
🔵Total Games
Total Games Under 17.51.78
52% expert probability

Our experts make this 52% likely.

Implied 56%Select →
First Set
S. Jong wins 1st set1.12
84% expert probability

Our experts make this 84% likely.

Implied 89%Select →
Set Betting
S. Jong 2-01.24
69% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 81%Select →
Games Handicap
S. Jong +6.5 games1.63
61% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 61%Select →

The Players

GU
🎾 S. Guinau
Netherlands · Age 56

S. Guinau is a 56-year-old player from Netherlands.

No surface data.

S. Jong
🇳🇱 S. Jong
Netherlands · Age 26

S. Jong is a 26-year-old player from Netherlands, currently ranked ITF #736 with 42 ranking points. Strongest on clay (64% career win rate).

Ranking
#736
Points
42
Hard Career
25-16
Hard61% (25-16)
Clay64% (42-24)

Serpix Analysis

S. Guinau meets S. Jong at the M15 Alkmaar on hard. Our experts make S. Jong the favourite at 97% to win.

Why this pick

High

Hard-Court Form

S. Jong has a 61% career win rate on hard (25-16).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerS. GuinauS. Jong
1xBet8.701.03
BetVictor8.001.05
Betfair10.001.04
Marathon8.701.03
Pncl10.761.06
Sbo6.881.03
Superbet7.901.05
Unibet7.001.06
bet3658.001.06

Recent Form

🎾 S. Guinau

29 Aprvs A. Oetzbach · M15 Oegstgeest0 - 2L
2 Septvs A. Raynel · M15 Haren0 - 2L

🇳🇱 S. Jong

7 Junvs J. McCabe · Hertogenbosch0 - 2L
6 Junvs S. Mochizuki · Hertogenbosch2 - 1W
2 Junvs Y. Hsu · Heilbronn1 - 2L
1 Junvs L. Poertner · Heilbronn2 - 0W
31 Mayvs M. Martineau · Heilbronn2 - 1W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 S. Jong69%
2-1 S. Jong18%
2-0 S. Guinau7%
2-1 S. Guinau6%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.