🎾 ATP WimbledonATP Wimbledon - Semi-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
B. Tomic
🎾 B. Tomic
Australia · Age 33
WLLWL
2026: 7-9
vs
C. O'Connell
🎾 C. O'Connell
Australia · Age 32
WWWWW
2026: 9-13
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·12:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

C. O'Connell to Win

Our experts give C. O'Connell a 67% win probability on grass.

1.53
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price C. O'Connell to Win at 1.53 (implied 65.4%). Our experts give 67%, a fair price of 1.48 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
B. Tomic to Win2.39
33% expert probability

Our experts give B. Tomic a 33% win probability on grass.

Implied 42%Select →
Match Winner
C. O'Connell to Win1.53
67% expert probability

Our experts give C. O'Connell a 67% win probability on grass.

Implied 65%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Under 23.51.70
56% expert probability

Our experts make this 56% likely.

Implied 59%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.56
61% expert probability

Our experts make this 61% likely.

Implied 64%Select →
First Set
C. O'Connell wins 1st set1.59
59% expert probability

Our experts make this 59% likely.

Implied 63%Select →
Set Betting
C. O'Connell 2-02.15
41% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 47%Select →
Games Handicap
C. O'Connell +0 games1.40
71% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 71%Select →

The Players

B. Tomic
🎾 B. Tomic
Australia · Age 33

B. Tomic is a 33-year-old player from Australia. Strongest on grass (59% career win rate).

2026 Record
7-9
Grass Career
65-45
Hard58% (333-238)
Clay42% (57-79)
Grass59% (65-45)
C. O'Connell
🎾 C. O'Connell
Australia · Age 32

C. O'Connell is a 32-year-old player from Australia. Strongest on hard (55% career win rate).

2026 Record
9-13
Grass Career
14-17
Hard55% (166-138)
Clay52% (65-60)
Grass45% (14-17)

Serpix Analysis

B. Tomic meets C. O'Connell at the Wimbledon on grass. Our experts make C. O'Connell the favourite at 67% to win.

Why this pick

Medium

Grass-Court Form

C. O'Connell has a 45% career win rate on grass (14-17).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerB. TomicC. O'Connell
1xBet2.441.57
888Sport2.381.53
BetVictor2.631.44
Betfair2.381.53
Marathon2.391.54
Sbo2.231.53
Superbet2.301.54
bet3652.371.53

Recent Form

🎾 B. Tomic

22 Junvs K. Uchida · Wimbledon2 - 0W
16 Junvs C. Gannon · Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification1 - 2L
7 Junvs B. Bonzi · Hertogenbosch1 - 2L
6 Junvs A. Deckers · Hertogenbosch2 - 0W
3 Junvs H. Matsuoka · Tyler0 - 2L

🎾 C. O'Connell

22 Junvs J. Schwaerzler · Wimbledon2 - 0W
20 Junvs O. Virtanen · Nottingham2 - 0W
19 Junvs R. Bertola · Nottingham2 - 0W
18 Junvs B. Bonzi · Nottingham2 - 0W
17 Junvs J. Clarke · Nottingham2 - 1W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

B. Tomic

Hard58% (333-238)
Clay42% (57-79)
Grass59% (65-45)

C. O'Connell

Hard55% (166-138)
Clay52% (65-60)
Grass45% (14-17)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 C. O'Connell41%
2-1 C. O'Connell24%
2-0 B. Tomic19%
2-1 B. Tomic15%
Over 2.5 Sets39%
Under 2.5 Sets61%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.