SSerpixTennis Predictions
🎾 WTA Bad HomburgWTA Bad Homburg - 1/8-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
I. Swiatek
🇵🇱 I. Swiatek
Poland · Age 25
LWWWL
WTA #3 · 2026: 3-2
vs
E. Navarro
🇺🇸 E. Navarro
USA · Age 25
WLWWW
WTA #24 · 2026: 0-1
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·11:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

I. Swiatek to Win

Our experts give I. Swiatek a 81% win probability on grass.

1.28
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price I. Swiatek to Win at 1.28 (implied 78.1%). Our experts give 81%, a fair price of 1.23 — an edge of 3.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
I. Swiatek to Win1.28
81% expert probability

Our experts give I. Swiatek a 81% win probability on grass.

Implied 78%Select →
Match Winner
E. Navarro to Win3.75
19% expert probability

Our experts give E. Navarro a 19% win probability on grass.

Implied 27%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Over 19.51.71
54% expert probability

Our experts make this 54% likely.

Implied 58%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.42
65% expert probability

Our experts make this 65% likely.

Implied 70%Select →
First Set
I. Swiatek wins 1st set1.33
72% expert probability

Our experts make this 72% likely.

Implied 75%Select →
Set Betting
I. Swiatek 2-01.66
51% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 60%Select →
Straight Sets
I. Swiatek in straight sets1.66
56% expert probability

56% to win without dropping a set.

Implied 60%Select →
Games Handicap
I. Swiatek -3 games1.44
69% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 69%Select →

The Players

I. Swiatek
🇵🇱 I. Swiatek
Poland · Age 25

I. Swiatek is a 25-year-old player from Poland, currently ranked WTA #3 with 6,733 ranking points. Strongest on clay (86% career win rate).

Ranking
#3
Points
6,733
2026 Record
3-2
Grass Career
34-10
Hard77% (212-63)
Clay86% (131-21)
Grass77% (34-10)
E. Navarro
🇺🇸 E. Navarro
USA · Age 25

E. Navarro is a 25-year-old player from USA, currently ranked WTA #24 with 1,784 ranking points. Strongest on grass (69% career win rate).

Ranking
#24
Points
1,784
2026 Record
0-1
Grass Career
25-11
Hard59% (84-59)
Clay67% (102-50)
Grass69% (25-11)

Serpix Analysis

I. Swiatek meets E. Navarro at the Bad Homburg on grass. I. Swiatek comes in ranked #3, E. Navarro #24. Their head-to-head is evenly split. Our experts make I. Swiatek the favourite at 81% to win.

Why this pick

High

Ranking Advantage

I. Swiatek (#3) is ranked 21 places above E. Navarro (#24).

Medium

Head-to-Head Record

E. Navarro is level the series 1-1 across 2 meeting(s).

High

Grass-Court Form

I. Swiatek has a 77% career win rate on grass (34-10).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerI. SwiatekE. Navarro
bet3651.283.75

Head to Head

1
I. Swiatek
2 meetings
1
E. Navarro
1 Oct Beijing1 - 2E. Navarro
22 Jan Australian Open2 - 0I. Swiatek

Recent Form

🇵🇱 I. Swiatek

31 Mayvs M. Kostyuk · French Open0 - 2L
29 Mayvs M. Linette · French Open2 - 0W
27 Mayvs S. Bejlek · French Open2 - 0W
25 Mayvs E. Jones · French Open2 - 0W
14 Mayvs E. Svitolina · Rome1 - 2L

🇺🇸 E. Navarro

23 Junvs E. Lys · Bad Homburg2 - 0W
21 Junvs M. Bouzkova · Nottingham1 - 2L
20 Junvs V. Golubic · Nottingham2 - 0W
19 Junvs J. Maneiro · Nottingham2 - 0W
17 Junvs Y. Starodubtseva · Nottingham2 - 1W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

I. Swiatek

Hard77% (212-63)
Clay86% (131-21)
Grass77% (34-10)

E. Navarro

Hard59% (84-59)
Clay67% (102-50)
Grass69% (25-11)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 I. Swiatek51%
2-1 I. Swiatek22%
2-0 E. Navarro15%
2-1 E. Navarro12%
Over 2.5 Sets35%
Under 2.5 Sets65%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.