🎾 ATP WimbledonATP Wimbledon - Semi-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
L. Nardi
🎾 L. Nardi
Italy · Age 22
WLWWL
2026: 8-10
vs
O. Virtanen
🎾 O. Virtanen
Finland · Age 25
WLWWW
2026: 12-9
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·12:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

O. Virtanen to Win

Our experts give O. Virtanen a 76% win probability on grass.

1.35
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price O. Virtanen to Win at 1.35 (implied 74.1%). Our experts give 76%, a fair price of 1.31 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
L. Nardi to Win3.00
24% expert probability

Our experts give L. Nardi a 24% win probability on grass.

Implied 33%Select →
Match Winner
O. Virtanen to Win1.35
76% expert probability

Our experts give O. Virtanen a 76% win probability on grass.

Implied 74%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Under 23.51.73
53% expert probability

Our experts make this 53% likely.

Implied 58%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.54
60% expert probability

Our experts make this 60% likely.

Implied 65%Select →
First Set
O. Virtanen wins 1st set1.46
64% expert probability

Our experts make this 64% likely.

Implied 68%Select →
Set Betting
O. Virtanen 2-02.02
44% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 50%Select →
Games Handicap
O. Virtanen +2.5 games1.68
60% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 60%Select →

The Players

L. Nardi
🎾 L. Nardi
Italy · Age 22

L. Nardi is a 22-year-old player from Italy. Strongest on hard (56% career win rate).

2026 Record
8-10
Grass Career
2-7
Hard56% (123-98)
Clay53% (65-57)
Grass22% (2-7)
O. Virtanen
🎾 O. Virtanen
Finland · Age 25

O. Virtanen is a 25-year-old player from Finland. Strongest on grass (67% career win rate).

2026 Record
12-9
Grass Career
24-12
Hard64% (150-83)
Clay40% (38-56)
Grass67% (24-12)

Serpix Analysis

L. Nardi meets O. Virtanen at the Wimbledon on grass. Their head-to-head favours L. Nardi 1-0. Our experts make O. Virtanen the favourite at 76% to win.

Why this pick

Medium

Head-to-Head Record

L. Nardi leads the series 1-0 across 1 meeting(s).

High

Grass-Court Form

O. Virtanen has a 67% career win rate on grass (24-12).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerL. NardiO. Virtanen
1xBet3.111.38
888Sport3.001.36
Betano2.951.37
Betfair3.001.33
Marathon3.051.35
Sbo3.001.28
Superbet2.851.35
bet3653.001.36

Head to Head

1
L. Nardi
1 meeting
0
O. Virtanen
31 Jan Manama2 - 0L. Nardi

Recent Form

🎾 L. Nardi

22 Junvs R. Noguchi · Wimbledon2 - 0W
15 Junvs R. Bertola · Nottingham1 - 2L
14 Junvs G. Hussey · Nottingham2 - 0W
13 Junvs O. Weightman · Nottingham2 - 1W
10 Junvs J. Fearnley · Ilkley1 - 2L

🎾 O. Virtanen

22 Junvs P. Martinez · Wimbledon2 - 1W
20 Junvs C. O'Connell · Nottingham0 - 2L
19 Junvs Z. Zhang · Nottingham2 - 1W
18 Junvs B. Harris · Nottingham2 - 0W
17 Junvs F. Gill · Nottingham2 - 0W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

L. Nardi

Hard56% (123-98)
Clay53% (65-57)
Grass22% (2-7)

O. Virtanen

Hard64% (150-83)
Clay40% (38-56)
Grass67% (24-12)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 O. Virtanen44%
2-1 O. Virtanen25%
2-0 L. Nardi16%
2-1 L. Nardi15%
Over 2.5 Sets40%
Under 2.5 Sets60%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.