🎾 ATP WimbledonATP Wimbledon - Semi-finals🟢 Grass, Outdoor
S. Kwon
🎾 S. Kwon
South Korea · Age 28
WLLWW
2026: 17-3
vs
A. Gea
🎾 A. Gea
France · Age 21
WLWLW
2026: 5-0
Wednesday, 24 June 2026·12:00 CET
★ Our Pick · Match Winner

A. Gea to Win

Our experts give A. Gea a 56% win probability on grass.

1.84
Best Odds
💎 Bookmakers price A. Gea to Win at 1.84 (implied 54.3%). Our experts give 56%, a fair price of 1.77 — an edge of 2.0 points.

Betting Predictions

Match Winner
S. Kwon to Win1.88
44% expert probability

Our experts give S. Kwon a 44% win probability on grass.

Implied 53%Select →
Match Winner
A. Gea to Win1.84
56% expert probability

Our experts give A. Gea a 56% win probability on grass.

Implied 54%Select →
🟢Total Games
Total Games Under 24.51.82
51% expert probability

Our experts make this 51% likely.

Implied 55%Select →
🟢Total Sets
Total Sets Under 2.51.60
58% expert probability

Our experts make this 58% likely.

Implied 63%Select →
First Set
A. Gea wins 1st set1.85
50% expert probability

Our experts make this 50% likely.

Implied 54%Select →
Set Betting
A. Gea 2-03.06
29% expert probability

Our experts' most likely scoreline.

Implied 33%Select →
Games Handicap
A. Gea +0.5 games1.90
53% expert probability

Games spread for the favourite (market price).

Implied 53%Select →

The Players

S. Kwon
🎾 S. Kwon
South Korea · Age 28

S. Kwon is a 28-year-old player from South Korea. Strongest on hard (62% career win rate).

2026 Record
17-3
Grass Career
12-15
Hard62% (203-125)
Clay41% (14-20)
Grass44% (12-15)
A. Gea
🎾 A. Gea
France · Age 21

A. Gea is a 21-year-old player from France. Strongest on hard (72% career win rate).

2026 Record
5-0
Grass Career
2-2
Hard72% (83-33)
Clay50% (57-57)
Grass50% (2-2)

Serpix Analysis

S. Kwon meets A. Gea at the Wimbledon on grass. Our experts make A. Gea the favourite at 56% to win.

Why this pick

Medium

Grass-Court Form

A. Gea has a 50% career win rate on grass (2-2).

Best Betting Odds

BookmakerS. KwonA. Gea
1xBet1.941.88
BetVictor1.871.83
Betano1.901.85
Betfair1.911.80
Marathon1.901.85
Sbo1.851.85
Superbet1.901.80
Unibet1.831.89
bet3651.831.83

Recent Form

🎾 S. Kwon

22 Junvs N. Izquierdo · Wimbledon2 - 0W
16 Junvs O. Virtanen · Nottingham0 - 2L
14 Junvs A. Matusevich · Nottingham0 - 2L
13 Junvs M. Hurrion · Nottingham2 - 0W
10 Mayvs Y. Bu · Wuxi2 - 0W

🎾 A. Gea

22 Junvs R. Brancaccio · Wimbledon2 - 0W
17 Junvs B. Harris · Nottingham1 - 2L
15 Junvs A. Matusevich · Nottingham2 - 0W
12 Junvs M. Lajal · Ilkley1 - 2L
9 Junvs F. Maestrelli · Ilkley2 - 1W

Surface Performance & Set Betting

S. Kwon

Hard62% (203-125)
Clay41% (14-20)
Grass44% (12-15)

A. Gea

Hard72% (83-33)
Clay50% (57-57)
Grass50% (2-2)

Set Betting Probabilities

2-0 A. Gea29%
2-0 S. Kwon28%
2-1 S. Kwon22%
2-1 A. Gea22%
Over 2.5 Sets42%
Under 2.5 Sets58%

Predictions are our experts' estimates for informational purposes. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly.